关键词: Logistic曲线, 应急能力, 模糊层次分析法, 评价指标体系

Abstract: According to the problems that emergency management about coal mine development status and evaluation of the one-dimensional problem, Based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process,and around the four stages of“Prevention - Preparation - Response – Recovery”, emergency capability evaluation system has been built,which included 4 first-level indications and 16 second-level indications.The evolution process of coal mine emergency response was divided into four periods by using of Logistic curve, that is starting stage,growth stage,mature stage and stable stage.Comprehensive analysis and assessment of a coal mine enterprise's emergency capability and its ability to determine its emergency capability is "good".The results showed that this method provides a quantitative basis for the coal mine enterprise to improve its emergency response capability,thus improve the level of emergency management and the ability to respond to emergencies.